Aug13

Is YouWager.eu a Valid “Out”?

by LineProjector on August 13, 2012 at 8:33 pm
Posted In: Sportsbooks

Most of you probably have never heard of YouWager.eu.  If you haven’t, you’re definitely not alone.  We decided to give it a shot, and here is our results.

↓ Read the rest of this entry…

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Jul17

How do Pregame Touts Do With Line Movement?

by LineProjector on July 17, 2012 at 7:55 pm
Posted In: tout

We posted this over at Beyond the Bets Forum and wanted to post it here as well.

Shortly after releasing this site, we got curious as to how the Pregame handicappers match up. Our research isn’t completed yet, and includes more data than this, but here’s just a sample of a few facts. Keep in mind that we’re using LineProjector numbers, provided by BetOnline.

We researched a number of Pregame cappers in MLB Money Lines. For this experiment, we didn’t include Run Lines or Totals at all. Results are current from 7/1-7/15.

One of Pregame’s most successful baseball handicappers during this time period beat the closing number 23 times out of 33 games (~70%), which in my mind is pretty solid. When he did miss the closing number, he missed it by roughly 4 cents per game. Not a bad number for a tout. Said tout is also up roughly 29 units in July on MLB ML plays. The down side, said capper only got the best number 2 times, and misses the best number by roughly 10 cents per wager. His clients could be much more profitable if the tout cared about line movements and analysis.

The handicapper above is definitely in the minority. Another one of Pregame’s “elite” MLB handicappers beat the closing number only 10 times in 27 bets, roughly 37%. When this tout misses the closing number, he misses by roughly 6 cents, and never bet the “best” line. This capper missed the best line by roughly 10 cents per wager. It should also be mentioned that this capper is down roughly 2 units in this time period.

Again, this is just a teaser until we collect more data. The full report will expose quite a bit more info. Hopefully Pregame comes through with their promise of transparent tracking. Until then, we will have to do it ourselves.  We’ll be working with Beyond the Bets and publishing our findings at the end of the month.

Feel free to contact us:  lineprojector@lineprojector.com

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Jul13

Tailing Picks on Twitter? Bettor Beware.

by LineProjector on July 13, 2012 at 8:03 pm
Posted In: Line Moves

Nearly every sports betting website you visit will likely have an article or message board thread about tailing picks on twitter.  On some sites, your overall popularity is not determined by insight you provide on a certain game, your popularity is determined by your win loss record for picks posted.  I am sure we could write a 10,000 word article on the pros and cons, but frankly we would be re-inventing the wheel.  There will always be people tailing their favorite handicapper on twitter as long as people continue feeding followers free picks.  In this article, we are going to take a different approach to tailing picks on twitter. ↓ Read the rest of this entry…

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Jul10

Things to Come

by LineProjector on July 10, 2012 at 7:36 pm
Posted In: Informational

Hey all, it’s been a busy first week here at LineProjector.com.  I thought I’d update you all on the features we have added this week, the various items we are working on, and what we are planning next.

Features Added and/or Updated

  • Research/Analysis article on betting underdogs in MLB
  • Added CFL, Arena Football, and WNBA line tracking
  • Added line summary for MLB to show opening line and the current/closing line
  • Enhanced all of our tracking tables to make them a little easier to read

Work in Progress

  • We have spent the all-star break making the site more efficient and reducing load times
  • We are also working on an article relating to tailing picks on twitter, but we’re putting a line tracking twist on it
  • We will be uploading a bet tracking spreadsheet that we personally use to track all of our picks

Next Up

  • We will be adding line tracking on NCAAF when they become available
  • We are adding summary tables for all of the line tracking that we support
  • We will be adding tracking for various soccer leagues
  • More line tracking analysis articles for MLB

If you have any questions or requests, don’t hesitate to email us.  lineprojector@lineprojector.com

Jul04

Betting MLB Dogs After Opening Number

by LineProjector on July 4, 2012 at 10:19 am
Posted In: Informational, Line Moves

The purpose of this is not to sell picks or tell which team you should bet.  In fact, most of the information posted on this site will not take into account wins and losses.  Let’s face it, whether you win or lose, you want the best number.  If you win a bet laying -125, you’re going to be less profitable in the long run than someone who got the line at -120.  When betting dogs, if you win a bet getting +120, you’re going to be less profitable than the guy that got the line at +125.  For this example, throw the wins and losses out.  We’re going to focus on getting the best numbers. ↓ Read the rest of this entry…

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